Determinants of Housing Construction in Ukraine
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1
Department of Marketing and Logistics, Lviv Polytechnic National University, Ukraine
2
Department of Business-Administration, Marketing and Management,
Uzhhorod National University, Ukraine
Submission date: 2021-12-06
Final revision date: 2022-02-09
Acceptance date: 2022-02-20
Publication date: 2022-09-22
Corresponding author
Olena Bochko
Department of Marketing and Logistics, Lviv Polytechnic National University, Ukraine
REMV; 2022;30(3):1-11
HIGHLIGHTS
- the conducted analysis of the housing construction products in Ukraine confirms that during 2010-2019, the country experienced the tendency to growth of its capacity in cost indicators
- increase of the volume of housing construction products in Ukraine by 1% results in the GDP growth by 0.814% under constant other conditions
- the research identifies main determinants influencing development of the housing construction products market in Ukraine; the determinants include consumer income, deposit rates in foreign currency, amount of consumer loans for buying, building and reconstruction of real estate assets, number of marriages, investments in housing construction, interest rates for mortgage credits in UAH, number of divorces
- all cost indicators are also adjusted for the inflation index. The produced correlation matrix proves that almost all factors, but for the number of divorces, are interdependent and therefore, each of the factors influencing development of the housing construction products market in Ukraine is studied separately by applying one-factor linear regressions
- the results obtained on the base of the developed models show that the greatest impact on the volume of housing construction products in Ukraine is made by consumer income, deposit rates in foreign currency and amount of consumer loans for buying, building and reconstruction of real estate assets, whereas a significant impact is made by the number of marriages, investments in housing construction, interest rates for mortgage credits in UAH
- positive impact on the volume of housing construction products in Ukraine is made by such factors as growth of consumer income, growth of the amount of investments in housing construction, reduction of interest rates for mortgage credits and deposit rates in foreign currency, reduction of the amount of consumer loans for buying, building and reconstruction of real estate assets and reduction of the number of marriages.
- a 1% growth of the amount of investments in the housing construction industry of Ukraine will result in the increase of the volume of housing construction products by 0.87% under constant other conditions
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ABSTRACT
The work presents an analysis of the housing construction market in Ukraine. An economic and mathematic model was built to determine that the growth of the volume of housing construction in Ukraine had a positive impact on its GDP, due of a close relation between the two values. It is important to identify factors influencing the volume of housing construction. The obtained results prove that the greatest impact is made by consumer income, deposit rates in foreign currency, and the amount of consumer loans for buying, building and reconstruction of real estate assets; the numbers of marriages, investments in housing construction and interest rates for mortgage credits in UAH also have a significant impact. The elasticity coefficients reveal a positive impact of such factors as an increase of consumer income, growth of investments in housing construction, reduction of interest rates for mortgage credits and deposit rates in foreign currency, reduction of the amount of consumer loans for buying, building and reconstruction of real estate assets, and reduction of the number of marriages. Further development of the housing construction market requires appropriate conditions for the development of the banking sector in Ukraine and the growth of investments in the studied industry.